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Best Active MLB On-Base Streaks Entering 2026

Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Yordan Alvarez each own 39-game streaks. We scanned 356,031 Statcast game logs to find every active on-base streak heading into the 2026 season.

View Active Streak Rankings

MLB Picks Today

Daily prop picks backed by matchup data, BvP splits, and edge analysis

Prop Pick Over Play

Sanchez Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs Cubs (+104)

12.6 K/9 rate in 2026 with 23 K through 3 starts and a 1.65 ERA. Opened the season with 10 K against Texas. Cubs K rate sits at 22.2%. Plus money on an elite arm at Citizens Bank Park. Over has cashed in 2 of 3 starts.

April 13, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Wrobleski Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Mets (+134)

Averaging 2.00 K per start in 2026 with a 0% over rate at every threshold. Contact-first pitcher facing a contact-first Mets lineup (20.8% K rate). The 3.5 line sits 1.5 K above his actual pace, at plus money. Under 2-for-2 in 2026.

April 13, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Cavalli Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Pirates (+128)

5.6 BB/9 in 2026 burns pitches and caps innings. K totals of 5, 3, 3 across 3 starts. Ground ball specialist whose xERA (4.22) screams regression. Under cashed in 2 of 3 starts this year. Plus money on structural K limitations.

April 13, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Over Play

Skenes Over 7.5 Strikeouts vs Cubs (-115)

100.2 mph fastball with a -4.1 degree VAA and the unhittable Splinker at 94-96. Posting 13.4 K/9 in 2026. Cubs rank 4th in K% against RHP power arms at 26.2%. The 7.5 line underprices his K ceiling in this matchup.

April 12, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Over Play

Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases vs Rangers (-125)

96.4 mph avg exit velo, 58.4% hard-hit rate, 19.2% barrel rate, all 99th percentile. Faces Jon Gray, whose slider hangs middle-zone against LHH. Globe Life Field playing hot with +12% carry metric. The 1.5 line does not account for this hard-hit floor.

April 12, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Sheehan Under 5.5 Strikeouts vs Rangers (+118)

Dodgers have capped Sheehan at 83 and 98 pitches in his first two 2026 starts coming off Tommy John. Averaging 4.5 IP and exactly 4.0 K per outing. The line sits 1.5 K above his actual 2026 pace, at plus money. Under 2-for-2 in 2026.

April 11, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Lopez Under 4.5 Strikeouts vs Mets (+116)

10 walks in 8.1 IP this year. Averaging 4.0 IP and 3.0 K per start with the bloated pitch counts pulling him from games early. Patient Mets lineup at Citi Field won't chase. Plus money on a structural command problem. Under 2-for-2 in 2026.

April 11, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Kochanowicz Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Reds (-106)

56.5% under rate across 23 career starts with a 3.1 K average. Last 5 K totals: 3, 3, 2, 1, 1 (L5 avg 2.0). Extreme groundball profile. Only 5 K in 9.2 IP in 2026. The 3.5 line is a full K above his L5 average.

WIN 2K +1.00u April 10, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Paddack Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Tigers (+118)

Plus money on a pitcher averaging 2.4 K over his last 10 starts. 54.5% career under rate. L5: 4, 2, 1, 2, 5 (avg 2.8). 2026: 8.31 ERA through 2 starts. Comerica Park is contact friendly.

LOSS 4K -1.00u April 10, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Buehler Under 4.5 Strikeouts vs Rockies (-146)

84.6% under rate (22 of 26 starts). Last 5 K totals: 4, 2, 3, 3, 2 (avg 2.8). L10 avg 2.9 K. 2026: 9.45 ERA, 16.6% K rate (14th percentile whiff). Buehler has lost K upside since elbow surgeries.

WIN 4K +1.00u April 10, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Rodriguez Under 4.5 Strikeouts vs Mets (-120)

17.4% K rate, 2.27 xERA through 12 IP. Changeup generates just 10% K rate on ending PAs. Mets at 20.5% team K rate with .330 OBP and 107 wRC+. Blended projection: ~4.0 strikeouts. Contact manager vs contact lineup.

WIN 3K +1.00u April 9, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Woo Under 1.5 Earned Runs vs Rangers (+100)

1.38 ERA with 0.54 WHIP (3rd in MLB). Only 5 hits and 2 ER in 13 IP all season. Last start: 7 scoreless innings. Plus money on an All-Star ace. This is the best value prop on the board.

WIN 1ER +1.00u April 8, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Ohtani Under 4.5 Hits Allowed vs Blue Jays (-130)

1 hit in 6 shutout IP in his 2026 debut. Toronto hitting .231 BA (16th), .348 SLG (21st), on a 6-game losing streak. Scored 1 run last game. Ace duel with Cease. Dead offense vs elite arm.

WIN 4HA +1.00u April 8, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Valdez Under 5.5 Strikeouts vs Twins (-113)

Career groundball pitcher, not a strikeout arm. K/9 around 8.0. Sinker/curveball induces weak contact. Over 5.5 at -107 on DK means the line is tight. His profile says 4-5 K in 6-7 IP, not 6+.

WIN 2K +1.00u April 8, 2026 · 1 Unit · Moderate Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Skubal Under 1.5 Earned Runs vs Twins (-160)

Back-to-back Cy Young winner has 0.69 ERA through 13 IP with just 1 ER all season. Minnesota hitting .169 vs LHP (28th). Edge scanner: 90.9% under rate in this profile.

LOSS 4ER -1.60u April 7, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Alcantara Earned Runs Under vs Reds

0.00 ERA through 16 IP. Complete game shutout vs CHW April 1. Yesterday's CIN-MIA was 2-0. Four converging edge scanner under trends with avg totals of 6.4 on a 7.0 line.

WIN 2ER +1.00u April 7, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Skenes Earned Runs Under vs Padres

Game total 6.0 (lowest on the board). Career 2.10 ERA in 57 starts, 4th best since 1920. ER under 17 of 25 games. Pivetta on other side also trending ER under 13 of 20. Classic pitchers' duel.

WIN 1ER +1.00u April 7, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Crochet Earned Runs Under vs Brewers

15 K in 11 IP, 31.9% K rate. Led MLB with 255 K in 2025. Misiorowski (18 K in 11 IP) on other side. Two elite K arms in a 6.5 total game. Edge scanner: 88.9% under rate.

WIN 2ER +1.00u April 7, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Heim Hits Under vs Angels

Hits under cashed 4 straight games at +4.80 units. TB under hit 4 straight too. H/R/RBI under and singles under all 4 straight. Every offensive category trending under. Ride the cold streak.

LOSS 1Hit -1.00u April 7, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Littell Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Cardinals (+128)

Littell posted a 6.27 K/9 in 2025 with the lowest walk rate in MLB (4.2%). Had just 1 K in 5 IP in his 2026 debut vs PHI. Cardinals have 9th-lowest K rate in MLB. Plus money on a contact pitcher.

LOSS 6K -1.00u April 6, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Houser Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Phillies (+108)

Classic sinkerball pitcher with a career 7.1 K/9. His 48.9% GB rate in 2025 ranked 79th percentile in MLB. Had 4 K in 5.1 IP in his Giants debut. Plus money on a contact-heavy sinker specialist.

WIN 3K +1.08u April 6, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Under Play

Pallante Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Nationals (-118)

MLB's #1 ground ball rate pitcher (67.4% in 2025) with a 15.5% K rate that ranked dead last among qualified starters. Had 3 K in 5 IP in his 2026 debut. The ultimate contact pitcher profile.

WIN 2K +1.00u April 6, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick K-Prone Lineup

Castillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts vs Angels (-172)

Angels lead MLB with 99 K through 8 games, batting .192 as a team. Castillo put up 7 K in 6 IP in his debut vs NYY. Career 5-2, 2.84 ERA with 80 K in 11 starts vs LAA. Best K matchup on the board.

LOSS 4K -1.72u April 5, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Low Line

Lauer Over 4.5 Strikeouts vs White Sox (-124)

9 K in 5.1 IP in his 2026 debut vs Oakland. White Sox have 2nd-most K in MLB (91), bat .212 with a .640 OPS. Four hitters with 9+ K already. The 4.5 line is too low for this matchup. CWS struck out 18 times in the first 2 games of this series.

LOSS 0K -1.24u April 5, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Elite Stuff

Burns Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs Rangers (-130)

No. 2 overall pick had 7 K in 5 scoreless IP in his 2026 debut, touching 99 mph with 15 whiffs on 78 pitches. Career 35.6% MLB K rate. College K rate: 17.19 K/9 at Wake Forest. Projected for 7.21 K today by ScoresAndOdds.

WIN 9K +1.00u April 5, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Dominant

Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts vs Marlins (-130)

0.00 ERA, 0.53 WHIP through 13.1 scoreless IP. Four-seam usage nearly doubled, generating 6 K on it with just 1 hit allowed. Went 7 IP on 90 pitches last start. Career-high 8.7 K/9 in 2025. Efficiency allows deep outings for more K chances. Rain delay worth monitoring.

LOSS 4K -1.30u April 5, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Breakout

Hancock Over 5.5 Strikeouts vs Angels (+132)

Career-high 9 K in his 2026 debut (6 no-hit IP vs CLE). Retooled arsenal with a 52% whiff-rate sweeper. Angels strike out 28% vs RHP. Plus money on a pitcher with elite swing-and-miss stuff vs a K-prone lineup.

LOSS 5K -1.00u April 4, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Former Team

Cease Over 7.5 Strikeouts vs White Sox (-110 est.)

12 K in his Toronto debut. Now faces his FORMER team, the White Sox, who own the worst K rate in baseball (35.9%). 94% over 5.5 K rate at home (15/16). .188 opponent AVG vs current CWS roster. Dream matchup.

LOSS 6K -1.10u April 3, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Repeat Winner

Woo Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs Angels (+113)

Already cashed O 6.5 K on March 28 (+106, 7K). 86% over 5.5 K at home (12/14). Angels carry a 30% K rate. L10 avg: 7.70 K. Plus money on a home ace against a lineup that can't make contact.

LOSS 6K -1.00u April 3, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Home Under

Keller Under 5.5 Strikeouts vs Orioles (-125 est.)

82% under 5.5 K at home (14/17). Career avg 4.69 K with declining K rate each of last 3 seasons. Last start: 3 K in 6 IP. Contact-oriented Orioles lineup at pitcher-friendly PNC Park.

WIN 4K +1.00u April 3, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick 5-for-5 vs MIN

Ragans Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs Twins (-130)

5 career starts vs Minnesota, NEVER under 7 K: 9, 7, 8, 7, 11. Average 8.4 K vs the Twins. 78% over 6.5 K rate in 2024, 69% in 2025. The strongest matchup-specific signal in our database.

WIN 8K +1.00u April 2, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick 90-Start Sample

Nelson Under 4.5 Strikeouts vs Braves

67% under 4.5 K rate across 90 starts over 3 seasons (2023-2025). Career average 3.9 K per start. Nelson is a contact pitcher who simply does not miss bats. The massive sample makes this one of the most reliable unders on the board.

WIN 3K +1.00u April 2, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Contact Lineup

Bradley Under 3.5 Strikeouts vs Royals (+120)

Bradley recorded just 2 K in 7 full innings vs KC last April. The Royals have one of MLB's lowest K-rate lineups: Witt Jr 0.8, Perez 0.8, Pasquantino 0.7, Garcia 0.5 K/game. Plus money on the under against a lineup that puts the ball in play.

WIN 3K +1.20u April 2, 2026 · 1 Unit · Moderate Confidence

Prop Pick Matchup Specific

Peterson Under 4.5 Strikeouts vs Giants

4 K and 4 K in his two most recent starts vs San Francisco. L5 average down to 3.0 K, trending sharply downward. Peterson at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park against a team he has struggled to miss bats against recently.

LOSS 5K -1.15u April 2, 2026 · 1 Unit · Moderate Confidence

Prop Pick 100% Anomaly

Skenes Over 7.5 Strikeouts vs Reds (EVEN)

7+ K in ALL 5 career starts vs CIN (7, 9, 9, 8, 7). 12.4 K/9 against the Reds with a 28-inning scoreless streak. CIN batting .194 with 10.4 K/game. At even money, the strongest signal our system has produced all season.

April 1, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Splitter Mismatch

Gausman Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs Rockies (-145)

11 K in his last start (franchise Opening Day record). Rockies are worst in MLB vs the splitter: .133 BA, 41.5% K rate. Colorado bats .203 on the road. Career 7.0 K avg in 9 appearances vs COL with 63 total strikeouts.

April 1, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Plus Money Value

Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts vs White Sox (+124)

The 2022 Cy Young winner is back to full velocity (100 mph). White Sox have the worst K rate in baseball at 35.9%. Alcantara's final 8 starts of 2025: 8.7 K/9, 2.68 ERA. Prior start vs CHW: 8 K touching 99.9 mph. Plus money is a gift.

April 1, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Repeat Winner

Yamamoto Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs Guardians (-106)

Already cashed his O 5.5 K on March 26. Now faces Cleveland, 3rd-highest K rate in MLB (29.5%). Guardians batting .188 with a .574 OPS. World Series MVP's career 10.4 K/9 rate ranks 89th percentile. Fair price at -106.

April 1, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Trending Up

Bryan Woo Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs Guardians (+106)

The All-Star averaged 7.7 K over his last 10 starts and cleared 6.5 in 5 of his last 6 home outings. Props engine shows he's trending UP at T-Mobile Park. Full game log data and edge analysis.

March 28, 2026 · 1 Unit · Medium-High Confidence

Prop Pick Opening Day

Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts vs Diamondbacks (-142)

The World Series MVP cleared 5.5 K in 73% of starts in 2025. He averages 7.17 K per start against Arizona and punched out 7 in his final spring tuneup. Full matchup breakdown with charts and edge analysis.

March 26, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Prop Pick Opening Day

Logan Webb Over 7+ Strikeouts vs Yankees (+140)

Our first prop of 2026. Career BvP data shows elevated K rates across the Yankees lineup. Jazz Chisholm whiffs 53.8% against Webb. Six lefty bats walk into Oracle Park. Full breakdown with matchup tables and EV analysis.

March 25, 2026 · 1 Unit · High Confidence

Research & Tools

Original data analysis from the mlbprops.com research team

Matchup Tool Featured

MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups

Find the most exploitable hitter vs pitcher matchups for player props. Includes edge calculators, prop grading, and a daily matchup scanner powered by verified career BvP data.

12 extreme matchups · Interactive tool · Updated for 2026

Original Research

The Third Time Through the Order Penalty

New research analyzing how hitter OPS+ jumps from 91 to 117 the third time through the order and what that means for MLB prop betting markets.

March 14, 2026 · 16 min read

Original Research

Why First Five +0.5 Run Line Bets Cost More Than Bettors Realize: 61,634 MLB Games Exposed the Truth

We analyzed every MLB game since 2000 and found that F5 +0.5 bets win over 60% of the time, yet still produce -16.9% ROI. The 14.67% tie rate is the most expensive insurance policy in baseball betting.

March 6, 2026 · 18 min read

Original Research

MLB Teams to Fade in April: Home Favorites Have Covered Under 50% in All 17 Seasons Since 2008

We analyzed 3,982 MLB games and found home favorites cover the run line just 39.7% in April. The Marlins (24.6%), White Sox (31.8%), and Pirates (32.7%) are the worst offenders.

March 4, 2026 · 15 min read

Original Research

When Game 1 Goes Under, Vegas Barely Adjusts: The Series Under-Correction Effect Across 8,771 MLB Series

We analyzed every MLB series since 2000 and found that when Game 1 finishes 4+ runs under the total, Game 2 goes under 54% of the time. Vegas only adjusts the line by 0.12 runs.

February 27, 2026 · 14 min read

Streak Database

Best Active MLB On-Base Streaks Entering 2026: Full Statcast Rankings

We scanned 356,031 Statcast game logs across 1,082 batters to find the 15 longest active reached base streaks heading into 2026. Betts, Ohtani, and Alvarez top the list at 39 straight.

February 20, 2026 · 8 min read

Original Research

Do Home and Away Splits Impact MLB Player Props More Than You Think

A data driven study of venue based splits across hits, home runs, and stolen bases. Some prop markets are far more sensitive to location than others.

February 17, 2026 · 10 min read

Original Research

Yankees Are 15-0 in Game 3 vs Mets at Yankee Stadium: The Most Absurd Subway Series Streak

We scanned 72 Subway Series games across 26 series and found the Mets have never won a Game 3 at Yankee Stadium since 2001.

February 19, 2026 · 8 min read

Original Research

How Often Does a Run Score in the First Inning? We Analyzed 61,579 MLB Games to Find Out

We analyzed every MLB game since 2000 and found that a run scores in the first inning 51.44% of the time. Here's what that means for NRFI/YRFI bettors.

February 9, 2026 · 12 min read

Strategy

Why Player Props Are Baseball's Most Beatable Market

Player props offer sharper edges than traditional sides and totals. Here's why the prop market remains inefficient and how smart bettors are exploiting it.

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Industry

MLB Gambling Scandals and Prop Betting Integrity: What Bettors Need to Know

From the Tucupita Marcano ban to Shohei Ohtani's interpreter scandal, MLB's relationship with gambling is complicated. How prop betting integrity affects you.

Industry Analysis