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Baltimore Orioles

2026 Projected Lineup, Rotation, and Player Prop Analysis

AL East
Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Updated: February 2026
#2 Gunnar Henderson Baltimore Orioles 2026
Gunnar Henderson
Shortstop
.274
AVG (2025)
17
HR (2025)
30
SB (2025)
#35 Adley Rutschman Baltimore Orioles 2026
Adley Rutschman
Catcher
.220
AVG (2025)
9
HR (2025)
.673
OPS (2025)
#20 Acquired Pete Alonso Baltimore Orioles 2026
Pete Alonso
First Base
38
HR (2025)
.272
AVG (2025)
.871
OPS (2025)

Key Offseason Changes

The Orioles made the splashiest offseason in franchise history, headlined by signing Pete Alonso to a five-year, $155 million contract, the highest AAV ever given to a first baseman and the largest financial commitment in Orioles history since Chris Davis. The five-time All-Star brings 38+ HR power and 126 RBI production to an already potent lineup.

Baltimore also acquired Taylor Ward from the Angels (trading Grayson Rodriguez), signed closer Ryan Helsley (2yr/$28M), added Shane Baz from Tampa Bay for four top-30 prospects, and signed Zach Eflin (1yr/$10M). Andrew Kittredge was re-acquired for cash. The Orioles are still linked to Framber Valdez, Justin Verlander, and Zac Gallen as they look to solidify the rotation.

Craig Albernaz takes over as manager for his first season after the team went 75-87 in 2025 and missed the playoffs. The expectation is a significant bounce-back with the aggressive offseason additions.

Projected Starting Lineup

Order Player Position Prop Notes
1 Gunnar Henderson SS MVP candidate, 35+ HR power
2 Adley Rutschman C Elite switch-hitting catcher
3 Pete Alonso 1B 5yr/$155M, 38 HR in 2025
4 Jordan Westburg 3B Breakout candidate, emerging power
5 Jackson Holliday 2B #1 prospect, elite ceiling
6 Taylor Ward LF Acquired from Angels, solid bat
7 Colton Cowser CF Young bat, developing power
8 Dylan Beavers RF Top prospect, MLB debut expected
9 Tyler O'Neill DH Power bat, platoon/DH role

This lineup is absolutely loaded with impact bats. Gunnar Henderson is an MVP favorite with 35+ HR potential, while Adley Rutschman remains one of baseball's best catchers. Adding Pete Alonso's 38-homer power to a lineup that already included Henderson, Westburg, and Holliday creates a murderer's row. Jackson Holliday, the consensus #1 prospect in baseball, should get extended run at second base. The outfield is young but talented with Cowser and Beavers projecting as future stars.

Projected Starting Rotation

Slot Pitcher Throws Prop Notes
SP1 Trevor Rogers L Ace role, bounce-back candidate
SP2 Kyle Bradish R Emerging ace, strikeout upside
SP3 Shane Baz R Acquired from Rays, high ceiling
SP4 Zach Eflin R 1yr/$10M, veteran stability
SP5 Dean Kremer R Depth option, innings eater

The rotation underwent significant changes after trading Grayson Rodriguez for Taylor Ward. Kyle Bradish has emerged as the homegrown ace, while Shane Baz brings elite stuff from Tampa Bay. The Orioles continue to pursue Framber Valdez, Zac Gallen, and Justin Verlander to add a true frontline arm. Zach Eflin provides veteran stability on a one-year deal, and Dean Kremer offers reliable depth. If Baltimore lands another top starter, this rotation could jump from average to elite.

Bullpen & Closer Situation

Closer: Felix Bautista returns as the dominant closer with triple-digit velocity. The addition of Ryan Helsley (2yr/$28M) provides elite insurance and could split save opportunities. Helsley was one of baseball's best relievers in 2024-25, making this potentially a two-headed monster at the back of the bullpen.

Setup: Yennier Cano provides high-leverage depth with swing-and-miss stuff. Andrew Kittredge was re-acquired and brings veteran experience. Keegan Akin serves as the lefty specialist with excellent splits against left-handed hitters.

Middle Relief: Rico Garcia and Dietrich Enns round out a bullpen that prioritizes velocity and strikeouts. The Orioles are reportedly still looking to add a quality left-handed reliever before spring training.

Prop Betting Angles

Gunnar Henderson Total Home Runs: Henderson has MVP-level power at age 24 and now has Pete Alonso batting behind him for lineup protection. If the number is 35.5 or lower, the over is extremely attractive for one of baseball's best young sluggers.
Pete Alonso RBIs: Batting third in a loaded lineup with Henderson and Rutschman ahead of him, Alonso could drive in 120+ runs. He had 126 RBI in 2025 with the Mets. The over is compelling if the number sits at 105 or lower.
Felix Bautista Saves: With the Orioles projected to win 90+ games and Bautista's dominant stuff, 35+ save opportunities are realistic. However, Ryan Helsley could vulture some saves, so monitor the committee situation during spring training.
Jackson Holliday Total Hits: The #1 prospect in baseball should get 500+ plate appearances if he earns the everyday second base job. If his hit prop is set at 130, the over could have value for a player with elite contact skills.
Kyle Bradish Strikeouts: Bradish has emerged as the homegrown ace with plus strikeout stuff. If he logs 180+ innings, 200 strikeouts are achievable. The over has value if the number is set at 175 or lower.
Adley Rutschman Total Runs Scored: Batting second in baseball's best lineup, Rutschman could score 100+ runs. His patience at the plate generates walks, and Henderson behind him ensures he'll be driven in frequently. Target the over on runs scored.

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