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Cincinnati Reds

2026 Projected Lineup, Rotation, and Player Prop Analysis

NL Central
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Updated: February 2026
#44 Elly De La Cruz Cincinnati Reds 2026
Elly De La Cruz
Shortstop
22
HR (2025)
.264
AVG (2025)
37
SB (2025)
#7 Spencer Steer Cincinnati Reds 2026
Spencer Steer
Third Base
.237
AVG (2025)
17
HR (2025)
.704
OPS (2025)
#21 Hunter Greene Cincinnati Reds 2026
Hunter Greene
Starting Pitcher
2.76
ERA (2025)
132
K (2025)
0.94
WHIP (2025)

Key Offseason Changes

The Reds won 83 games and claimed a Wild Card spot in 2025 under manager Terry Francona, establishing themselves as a legitimate contender with one of baseball's best rotations. The front office focused on bullpen upgrades and maintaining rotation depth this offseason.

Emilio Pagan was re-signed on a two-year, $20M deal to close games. The bullpen was further bolstered with Pierce Johnson (3.05 ERA in 2025), Brock Burke, and Caleb Ferguson. A three-team trade brought Gavin Lux from the Angels, adding infield depth. Ke'Bryan Hayes was also acquired to shore up third base defense.

The rotation features Hunter Greene, 2025 All-Star Andrew Abbott, Nick Lodolo, and Brady Singer in the first four spots. Chase Burns, the #2 overall pick in 2024, is competing with Rhett Lowder and Brandon Williamson for the fifth rotation spot. Cincinnati used 12 different starters in 2025 due to injuries, making depth critical.

Projected Starting Lineup

Order Player Position Prop Notes
1 Elly De La Cruz SS Generational talent, 30/60 potential
2 TJ Friedl CF Leadoff spark, speed/contact
3 Spencer Steer 1B Versatile bat, 25+ HR power
4 Rece Hinds DH Elite raw power, strikeout risk
5 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Gold Glove defense, contact bat
6 Will Benson LF Power potential, developing
7 Tyler Stephenson C Switch-hitter, solid bat
8 Tyler Callihan 2B Or Matt McLain when healthy
9 Blake Dunn RF Young bat, competing for time

Elly De La Cruz is the centerpiece, a generational talent with 30/60 (HR/SB) potential who electrifies the lineup. Spencer Steer provides the most consistent bat with 25+ HR power from first base. Rece Hinds has elite raw power but comes with significant strikeout risk. Matt McLain could return to boost the lineup if healthy. The front office hopes several players bounce back from disappointing 2025 campaigns.

Projected Starting Rotation

Slot Pitcher Throws Prop Notes
SP1 Hunter Greene R 2024 All-Star, triple-digit velo
SP2 Andrew Abbott L 2025 All-Star, elite command
SP3 Nick Lodolo L High ceiling when healthy
SP4 Brady Singer R Only starter to avoid IL in 2025
SP5 Chase Burns R #2 pick 2024, 100 mph, competing

This is one of baseball's most talented rotations with All-Star-caliber arms at the top. Hunter Greene brings triple-digit velocity and strikeout upside. Andrew Abbott emerged as an All-Star in 2025 with pinpoint control. Nick Lodolo has ace potential when healthy. Brady Singer was the only starter to make every start without an IL trip in 2025. Chase Burns made a historic debut (first to strike out his first 5 batters in the expansion era) and competes with Rhett Lowder and Brandon Williamson for the fifth spot.

Bullpen & Closer Situation

Closer: Emilio Pagan returns on a two-year, $20M deal as the established ninth-inning option. His experience and proven ability to close games makes him a reliable saves target on a playoff-contending team.

Setup: Pierce Johnson was added after a solid 2025 (3.05 ERA, 59 K in 59 IP) with Atlanta. Caleb Ferguson provides lefty high-leverage depth, while Tony Santillan and Graham Ashcraft offer right-handed power arms. Connor Phillips has swing-and-miss stuff as a development option.

Development: Brandon Williamson could potentially serve as a bullpen option if he doesn't win the fifth starter spot, giving the Reds a quality left-handed arm. Brock Burke adds additional lefty depth.

Prop Betting Angles

Elly De La Cruz Stolen Bases: EDLC has generational speed and should run wild on the bases. 60+ stolen bases are achievable if he stays healthy, making the over extremely attractive on any SB prop set below 55.
Hunter Greene Strikeouts: Greene's triple-digit velocity generates elite strikeout rates. If he logs 180+ innings, 220+ strikeouts are realistic. The over has strong value on any K prop set at 190 or lower.
Andrew Abbott Wins Total: As the staff ace on a playoff team, Abbott should get quality run support. His 2025 All-Star campaign positions him for 14+ wins if healthy. The over is attractive if the number is set at 12.5.
Spencer Steer Total Home Runs: Steer is the lineup's most consistent power bat with 25+ HR potential. Great American Ball Park is hitter-friendly, boosting his power numbers. The over has value if set at 22.5.
Elly De La Cruz Total Home Runs: EDLC has 30-homer power to go with his speed. A 30/60 season (HR/SB) is within reach, making him a dual-threat prop target. The over on HRs has value if set at 25.5.
Emilio Pagan Saves: As the established closer on a Wild Card contender, Pagan should have 30+ save opportunities. His $20M deal signals the team's confidence in him. Target the over if set at 28.5.

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