2026 MLB Props Results

Full Season Record and Unit Tracker

All picks graded with verified final box scores · Updated after every game day

August 20: The single-read board went 1-0, net notional +0.80u on a one-unit ticket. Jacob deGrom over 5.5 (-125) cashed at 10 K over 6.0 innings on 94 pitches, one hit, one walk and no earned runs against 20 batters, in the Rangers' 2-0 win over Washington at Globe Life Field, +0.80u. The write-up argued the whole contract was about batters faced rather than stuff, and he needed only twenty of them because he struck out half the lineup he saw. Both cut contracts were correctly cut: Grayson Rodriguez under 4.5 (-104) lost at 6 K over 7.0 shutout innings in the Angels' 18-3 win at Daikin Park, and Peter Lambert over 5.5 (-111) lost at 3 K over 3.2 innings and nine earned runs in the same game. The pitcher outs board published as a documented pass and two of its three closest contracts would have cashed: Kyle Bradish recorded 17 outs to clear over 16.5, and deGrom recorded 18 to clear over 15.5 at +164, while Gerrit Cole recorded 18 to lose the under 17.5. That is the cost of a rule, and the rule stays. No first-inning market was priced, so there was nothing to grade there. As with every board since July 8, these reads were published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 20, 2026.

August 18: The two-pick strikeout board split 1-1, net notional -0.58u on one-unit tickets. Braxton Ashcraft over 5.5 (-122) lost at 4 K over 8.0 innings on 80 pitches, five hits, no walks and one earned run against 28 batters, in the Pirates' 4-1 win over Detroit at PNC Park, -1.22u. He got the length the write-up argued for and then some, an eight-inning start on 80 pitches, and still finished two short because Detroit put the ball in play. The published counterpoint named it: one clear in his last five turns and a Tigers lineup whiffing a middling 22.3 percent against right-handers. Jack Perkins over 3.5 (-156) cashed at 4 K over 3.2 innings on 53 pitches in the Athletics' 3-4 loss at Kauffman Stadium, clearing the number in the shortest start of the two, +0.64u. Both cut contracts, Ryan Feltner over 3.5 and Cristian Javier over 4.5, were correctly cut. All 22 pitcher outs contracts and the first-inning board were documented passes with nothing to grade. As with every board since July 8, these reads were published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 18, 2026.

August 17: The two-pick strikeout board split 1-1, net notional -0.36u on one-unit tickets. Mason Barnett over 3.5 (+112) lost at 2 K over 2.2 innings on 83 pitches, seven hits, four walks and six earned runs against 18 batters, in the Athletics' 5-9 loss at Kauffman Stadium, -1.00u. The short outing the thesis wanted arrived and the strikeouts did not, because he never got deep enough into a Kansas City lineup that whiffs at the 24th-lowest rate in baseball. Tomoyuki Sugano over 2.5 (-156) cashed at 3 K over 5.0 innings on 89 pitches, seven hits and six earned runs against 24 batters, in Colorado's 5-11 loss to the Dodgers at Coors Field, landing exactly on the number the low line was built for, +0.64u. Both cut contracts, Bailey Ober over 3.5 and Martin Perez under 3.5, were correctly cut. All ten pitcher outs contracts and the first-inning board were documented passes with nothing to grade. As with every board since July 8, these reads were published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 17, 2026.

August 16: The two-pick strikeout board split 1-1, net notional -0.25u on one-unit tickets. Sean Burke over 5.5 (-125) lost at 2 K over 4.1 innings on 72 pitches, five hits, three walks and four earned runs against 21 batters, in the White Sox's 7-5 win at Comerica Park, -1.25u. The counterpoint the write-up published is where it went: his 20-start count sat at 55.0 percent against a 55.6 percent break-even and Detroit whiffs at a middling 22.6 percent. Michael Soroka over 4.5 (-104) cashed at 5 K over 5.2 innings on 80 pitches in Arizona's 3-5 loss at Atlanta, his longest outing since June 19, +1.00u. Drew Anderson, the contract the swingman filter cut, struck out 5 over 5.0 innings against Chicago and would have cleared his 4.5. The pitcher outs board and the first-inning board were both documented passes with nothing to grade. As with every board since July 8, these reads were published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 16, 2026.

August 15: The single-read board went 0-1, net notional -1.28u on a one-unit ticket. Logan Webb under 5.5 (-128) lost at 7 K over 6.0 innings on 80 pitches, four hits and no walks against 22 batters, in the Giants' 7-1 win over Colorado at Oracle Park, two clear of the number, -1.28u. Both risks the page flagged landed in the same start: Colorado's 22.6 percent strikeout rate and the eight strikeouts Webb had put on Texas twelve days earlier. Eight of the nine model-flagged contracts were cut on their own game logs, all 25 pitcher outs contracts graded negative, and no first-inning market was priced on the board. As with every board since July 8, this read was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from the official MLB box score for August 15, 2026.

August 11: The two-pick strikeout board went 0-2, net notional -2.54u on one-unit tickets. Nolan McLean over 5.5 (-154) lost at 3 K over 6.0 innings on 85 pitches, one hit and one earned run against 20 batters, in the Mets' 0-4 loss at Truist Park, a start he pitched well and still finished three short of the number, -1.54u. Kyle Harrison over 5.5 (+114) lost at 3 K over 4.2 innings on 90 pitches, ten hits and eight earned runs against 27 batters, in Milwaukee's 2-11 loss at Petco Park, -1.00u. Seven of the nine model-flagged contracts were cut, including both Drew Anderson markets on the swingman filter, and no first-inning contract was priced on the board at all. As with every board since July 8, these reads were published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 11, 2026.

August 10: The two-pick strikeout board went 2-0, net notional +2.08u on one-unit tickets. Reid Detmers under 6.5 (-128) cashed at 6 K over 6.0 innings on 88 pitches, three hits and one earned run, in the Angels' 1-4 loss to Texas at Angel Stadium, +1.00u. Michael Soroka under 4.5 (+108) cashed at 4 K over 4.1 innings on 77 pitches in Arizona's 9-0 win over Colorado at Chase Field, the first-start-back workload cap landing exactly where the write-up said it would, +1.08u. The first-inning market was a documented pass and had nothing to grade. As with the July 8 through August 9 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 10, 2026.

August 9: The tracked NRFI cashed. Tigers at Giants first-inning Under 0.5 at -146 on DraftKings won as Detroit and San Francisco combined for zero runs in the first at Oracle Park, +0.6849u on a 1-unit stake. The four-pick strikeout board that ran alongside it went 1-3, net notional -2.02u on one-unit tickets. Randy Dobnak over 2.5 (-132) cashed at 4 K over 5.0 innings in Kansas City's 2-10 loss to the Cubs, +1.00u. Grayson Rodriguez under 4.5 (+118) lost at 8 K over 4.0 innings in the Angels' 3-12 loss at Miami, -1.00u. Jared Jones over 5.5 (+118) lost at 3 K over 3.0 innings in Pittsburgh's 1-11 loss to the Mets, -1.00u. Brady Singer over 4.5 (-102) lost at 3 K over 6.0 innings in Cincinnati's 1-7 loss at Washington, -1.02u. As with the July 8 through August 6 boards, the strikeout read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 9, 2026.

August 7: The seven-pick strikeout board went 2-5, net notional -2.88u on one-unit tickets. Robbie Ray under 4.5 (+122) cashed at 2 K over 5.0 innings in San Diego's 3-6 loss to Houston, +1.22u. Nathan Eovaldi under 6.5 (+120) cashed at 2 K over 5.1 innings in Texas's 2-1 win over Baltimore, the read the page called uncomfortable and labelled that way, +1.20u. Carmen Mlodzinski over 3.5 lost at 1 K over 3.0 innings in Pittsburgh's 4-6 loss to the Mets, -1.00u. Ryan Feltner over 3.5 lost at 2 K over 5.1 innings in Colorado's 2-3 loss at St. Louis, -1.00u. Noah Schultz over 3.5 (-130) lost at 1 K over 0.1 innings in the White Sox's 2-8 loss to Cleveland, an outing that ended before it started, -1.30u. Parker Messick under 5.5 (+120) lost at 8 K over 7.0 innings in Cleveland's 8-2 win at Chicago, -1.00u. Tyler Phillips over 4.5 (+130) lost at 4 K over 4.0 innings in Miami's 3-4 loss to the Angels, the thinnest read on the page finishing half a strikeout short, -1.00u. As with every board since July 8, these reads were published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 7, 2026.

August 5: The tracked content that day was the BetLegend Pirates at Brewers card, which swept 9-0 for +11.32u and is carried on the BetLegend record rather than in this props tracker. The MLBProps strikeout research read landed: the model's under 6.5 side on Paul Skenes was correct at 6 K over 5.0 innings in Pittsburgh's 2-4 loss at American Family Field, against a market implying 57.5 percent for the over versus the model's 36.8 percent. Kyle Harrison struck out 10 over 5.0 innings opposite him. The strikeout board carried no tracked units, so nothing from it is folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from the official MLB box score for August 5, 2026.

August 6: The four-pick strikeout board went 2-2, net notional -0.14u on one-unit tickets. Cristopher Sanchez under 7.5 (-148) cashed at 6 K over 5.0 innings in Philadelphia's 7-3 win over Washington, the changeup read holding against the same lineup he beat on June 25, +1.00u. Framber Valdez under 4.5 (+126) lost at 5 K over 7.0 innings in Detroit's 11-0 win at Seattle, one strikeout past the number on a night the offense removed all leverage, -1.00u. Martin Perez under 3.5 (+124) cashed at 3 K over 3.0 innings in Atlanta's 11-3 win over Miami, the short outing doing the work, +1.24u. Kohl Drake over 3.5 (-138) lost at 1 K over 3.2 innings in San Diego's 5-1 win at Arizona, the rookie sample caveat proving justified, -1.38u. Both published passes landed on opposite sides: Janson Junk struck out 1 against Atlanta and Ranger Suarez struck out 3 against the White Sox. As with the July 8 through August 4 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 6, 2026.

August 4: The six-pick board went 1-5, net notional -5.24u on one-unit tickets. The headliner was the only winner. Gabriel Hughes over 3.5 (+106) cashed at 7 strikeouts over 5.1 innings in Colorado's 9-7 loss to Tampa Bay at Coors Field, the rookie matching his career high against the lowest-strikeout lineup in baseball, +1.06u. Troy Melton over 5.5 (+106) lost at 4 K over 7.0 innings in Detroit's 8-0 win at Seattle, a dominant start that simply did not miss bats, -1.00u. MacKenzie Gore under 17.5 outs (-200) lost at 18 outs, exactly six innings, in San Francisco's 5-4 loss at Texas, beaten by half an out at the worst possible price, -2.00u. Tarik Skubal over 7.5 (+116) lost at 6 K over 6.0 innings in the Dodgers' 5-1 loss at Wrigley Field, -1.00u. Randy Dobnak over 2.5 (-130) lost at 1 K over 5.0 innings in Minnesota's 8-2 loss at Kansas City, the contact profile that the workload caveat flagged, -1.30u. Grayson Rodriguez under 5.5 (+122) lost at 6 K over 7.0 innings in the Angels' 3-1 loss at Baltimore, one strikeout the wrong side of the number again, -1.00u. The two -200 and -130 juice legs did most of the damage. As with the July 8 through August 1 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 4, 2026.

August 3: The five-pick strikeout board went 1-4, net notional -2.93u on one-unit tickets. The headliner was the only winner. Cristian Javier under 3.5 (+122) cashed at 2 K over 6.0 innings in Toronto's 3-1 win at Daikin Park, the widest of the 16 contracts evaluated landing exactly as written, +1.22u. Bubba Chandler under 4.5 (+120) lost at 5 K over 5.2 innings in Milwaukee's 3-4 loss to Pittsburgh, one strikeout the wrong side of the number, -1.00u. Ian Seymour under 4.5 (+112) lost at 9 K over 6.0 innings in Tampa Bay's 13-9 win at Coors Field, -1.00u. Michael King under 4.5 (-115) lost at 5 K over 5.0 innings on 104 pitches in Arizona's 5-1 win over San Diego, -1.15u. Michael Lorenzen over 3.5 (+136) lost at 0 K over 3.0 innings in the same Rays and Rockies game, -1.00u. As with every board since July 8, these reads were published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 3, 2026.

August 1: The three-pick strikeout board went 1-2, net notional -1.98u on one-unit tickets. Ryan Feltner over 3.5 (-142) lost at 3 K over 6.0 innings in Colorado's 12-6 win over Kansas City, one strikeout short of the number at Coors Field, -1.42u. Jack Perkins over 4.5 (-122) cashed at 9 K over 5.1 innings in the Athletics' 8-6 loss to Detroit, the rookie's biggest strikeout night since joining the rotation, +1.00u. Cristopher Sanchez under 7.5 (-156) lost at 11 K over 6.0 shutout innings in Philadelphia's 5-0 win at Baltimore, -1.56u. As with the July 8-30 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for August 1, 2026.

July 30: The three-pick strikeout board went 0-3, net notional -3.06u on one-unit tickets. JP Sears over 3.5 (-106) lost at 2 K over 3.2 innings in San Francisco's 4-1 win over San Diego, -1.06u. Andre Pallante over 4.5 (+140) lost at 3 K over 6.1 innings in the Cubs' 4-2, 10-inning win over St. Louis, -1.00u. Noah Cameron under 4.5 (+104) lost at 7 K over 8.0 shutout innings in Minnesota's 4-3 walk-off win over Kansas City, -1.00u. As with the July 8-29 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for July 30, 2026.

July 29: The five-pick strikeout board went 1-4, net notional -4.06u on one-unit tickets. Dustin May over 4.5 (-162) lost at 3 K over 5.0 one-hit shutout innings in St. Louis's 3-2 win over the Cubs, a strong start that still fell short of the line, -1.62u. Logan Webb under 5.5 (+106) cashed at 4 K over 6.0 innings in San Francisco's 16-3 rout of Milwaukee, +1.06u. Jacob Lopez under 4.5 (-104) lost at 8 K over 5.1 innings in the Athletics' 4-2 loss to Boston, -1.04u. Davis Martin under 4.5 (-146) lost at 6 K over 6.0 innings in the White Sox's 6-5 win over the Yankees, -1.46u. Grayson Rodriguez under 4.5 (+118) lost at 6 K over 5.0 innings in the Angels' 7-4 loss to Houston, -1.00u. As with the July 8-28 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for July 29, 2026.

July 28: The seven-pick strikeout board went 0-6 with one void, net notional -6.79u on one-unit tickets, the toughest day of the year for this page. Sandy Alcantara over 5.5 (+116) lost at 5 K over 7.0 shutout innings in Miami's 1-0 win over Philadelphia, -1.00u. Cade Cavalli over 4.5 (+118) lost at 3 K over 6.0 innings in Washington's 8-6 win over Toronto, -1.00u. Reid Detmers under 6.5 (-136) lost at 9 K over 5.0 innings in the Angels' 3-2 loss to Houston, -1.36u. Troy Melton over 5.5 (-113) lost at 5 K over 7.0 shutout innings in Detroit's 14-0 rout of Baltimore, -1.13u. Chase Burns over 6.5 (+112) lost at 4 K over 5.0 innings in Cincinnati's 6-5 loss to Cleveland in game one of the doubleheader, -1.00u. Gavin Williams under 7.5 (-130) lost at 12 K over 7.0 innings in Cleveland's 2-0 loss to Cincinnati in game two, a fourth straight 11-plus strikeout start, -1.30u. Christian Scott over 5.5 (+118) is void: the Braves-Mets game in Atlanta was postponed by rain and moved to a July 29 split doubleheader, so the read never had a game to grade. As with the July 8-27 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above. Confirmed from official MLB box scores for July 28, 2026.

July 27: The five-pick strikeout board went 3-1 with one void, net notional +1.34u on one-unit tickets. Brandon Sproat over 4.5 (+104) cashed at 5 K over 6.0 innings in San Francisco's 3-0 win, +1.04u. Walbert Urena over 4.5 (-113) cashed at 5 K over 6.0 innings in the Angels' 6-4 loss to Houston, +1.00u. Tyler Phillips over 3.5 (-136) cashed at 5 K over 5.0 innings in Miami's 8-7 win over Philadelphia, +1.00u. Mitch Keller under 3.5 (-170) lost at 4 K over 5.1 innings in Pittsburgh's 3-2, 10-inning win over Arizona, -1.70u. Chase Burns over 6.5 (+112) is void: the Guardians-Reds opener in Cincinnati was rained out and moved to a July 28 doubleheader, so the pick never had a game to grade. As with the July 8-26 boards, every read here was published as analysis only with no tracked units, so this card is not folded into the season totals above.

June 28 through July 5: The week of headliners went 6-4 for +2.41u. June 28 Braves at Giants NRFI (-150, 1u) cashed on scoreless first frames from Chris Sale and Robbie Ray, +1.00u. June 29 Robert Gasser under 5.5 strikeouts (-102, 1u) cashed at 5 K over 5.2 innings, +1.00u. June 30 split: Mike Burrows under 4.5 (+110, 0.5u) won at 3 K for +0.55u while Justin Wrobleski under 4.5 (+118, 0.5u) lost on a career-high 11 strikeouts, -0.50u. July 1 went 0-2: Michael McGreevy over 3.5 (+128, 1u) landed on exactly 3 K for -1.00u and Andrew Abbott over 4.5 (+130, 0.5u) also finished with 3 K for -0.50u. July 2 Tigers at Rangers NRFI (-137, 1u) cashed on clean firsts from Framber Valdez and Nathan Eovaldi, +1.00u. July 3 Padres at Dodgers NRFI (-114, 1u) lost when San Diego scored in the top of the first at Dodger Stadium, -1.14u. July 4 Michael Wacha over 4.5 strikeouts (-111, 1u) cashed at 7 K over 6 innings against the Phillies, +1.00u. July 5 Blue Jays at Mariners NRFI (-124, 1u) cashed on scoreless first innings from Trey Yesavage and Emerson Hancock in Seattle's 4-0 win, +1.00u. July 6 Dustin May over 3.5 strikeouts (-164, 1u) cashed at 7 K over 4.2 innings against the Brewers at Busch Stadium, +1.00u.

June 26: The five tracked strikeout plays went 1-4 for a net loss, -2.21u. Paul Skenes under 8.5 (-147, 1u) was the lone winner, the Pirates ace striking out 7 over 5 innings against the Reds to stay under the number for +1.00u. Patrick Corbin under 3.5 (+118, 1u) lost, the lefty piling up 5 strikeouts for -1.00u. Trevor Rogers under 4.5 (+108, 1u) lost, the Orioles starter posting a season-high 7 strikeouts against the Nationals for -1.00u. Joey Cantillo under 5.5 (-122, 0.5u) lost, the Guardians lefty tying his season high with 9 strikeouts over 6 innings against the Mariners for -0.61u. Roki Sasaki over 5.5 (-120, 0.5u) lost, the Dodgers rookie managing just 2 strikeouts in 4 innings against the Padres for -0.60u. Card record 1-4, -2.21u.

June 25: The two tracked strikeout plays split for a net profit, +0.43u. Cade Cavalli over 4.5 (-144, 1u) cashed, the Nationals righty striking out 7 over 6 innings against the Phillies to clear the line for +1.00u. Jeffrey Springs under 4.5 (-114, 0.5u) lost, the Athletics lefty getting deep for 6 strikeouts over 5.1 innings against the Giants, over the number, for -0.57u. Card record 1-1, +0.43u.

June 24: The two tracked strikeout overs split for a net loss, -1.04u. Braxton Ashcraft over 5.5 (-140, 0.5u) cashed easily, the Pirates power arm striking out 10 against the Mariners to clear the line with room to spare for +0.50u. Matthew Liberatore over 3.5 (-154, 1u) lost, the Cardinals lefty managing only 3 strikeouts against the Diamondbacks, one short of the four he needed, for -1.54u. The anchor came up a punchout shy while the half-unit second leg landed. Card record 1-1, -1.04u.

June 23: The two tracked strikeout unders split for a small profit, net +0.16u. Robbie Ray under 6.5 (-162, 1u) cashed, the Giants lefty striking out six over eight innings of two-hit ball in a 3-1 win over the Athletics, landing on the under by half a strikeout for +1.00u. Nick Lodolo under 4.5 (-168, 0.5u) lost: Lodolo was overpowering before a Jackson Chourio comebacker off the wrist ended his night, but he had already piled up six strikeouts in four innings, so the under was gone for -0.84u. Card record 1-1, +0.16u.

June 16: Dylan Cease over 7.5 strikeouts (+105, 1.5u) lost, finishing with 7 strikeouts over 5 innings in Toronto's 6-1 win at Boston, for -1.50u. The June 7-15 daily cards are pending a batch grade and are not yet folded into the season totals above. Tracker updated through settled June 6 markets. The June 6 card went 1-5 for -6.07u: Kyle Bradish cashed the under 17.5 outs at 12 recorded, while Braxton Ashcraft (5 K), Tatsuya Imai (8 K), Jack Leiter (2 K), Joe Ryan (18 outs) and Nolan McLean (18 outs) all came up short. The Dodgers first-inning no-run market was a documented pass at negative EV. The May 25-30 model cards went 10-4 for +5.83u: May 25 cashed Merrill Kelly (4 K under), Tanner Bibee (9 outs) and the Yankees-Royals NRFI while Will Warren came up short; May 27 hit Cristopher Sanchez (9 K over) and the Phillies-Padres NRFI but lost the Sugano and deGrom unders; May 28 went 2-0 on Payton Tolle (7 K) and Paul Skenes (10 K) overs; and May 30 went 3-1, with Ryne Nelson (16 outs), Jesus Luzardo (6 K) and Kyle Leahy (13 outs) cashing while Brady Singer recorded exactly 15 outs to miss the under 14.5 by half an out. Net over the stretch: +5.83u.