Blog
Original research, data-driven analysis, and in-depth breakdowns of MLB player prop markets from the mlbprops.com research team.
The Yankees Are 15-0 in Game 3 of Every Subway Series at Yankee Stadium Since 2001
We scanned 61,634 MLB games from 2000 to 2025 and found one of the most absurd streaks in baseball history. Every single Game 3 between the Yankees and Mets at Yankee Stadium has been a Yankees win. All 15 of them.
Fixed Pitches, Rigged Props, and the Integrity Crisis Threatening Baseball Betting
The Clase-Ortiz pitch-rigging scheme exposed a $460,000 vulnerability in micro-bet markets. Which prop types are at risk, what MLB changed, and what every prop bettor needs to understand about integrity in 2026.
How Often Does a Run Score in the First Inning? We Analyzed 61,579 MLB Games to Find Out
We analyzed every MLB game from 2000 through 2025 using official Retrosheet game logs. A run scores in the first inning 51.44% of the time, and the YRFI side has been the correct outcome for 26 consecutive seasons.
The Structural Edge: Why MLB Player Props Remain Baseball's Most Beatable Betting Market
How volume, variance, and the limits of sportsbook modeling create persistent inefficiency in the fastest-growing corner of baseball betting. A deep look at why the math favors informed prop bettors.